A new set of Blue Wall surveys by CBS News/YouGov finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading convicted felon former President Trump 50 to 49 percent in Michigan, 50 to 48 percent in Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania tied at 50-50, all of these samples likely voters, raining on the celebratory circlejerk by horseracers and MAGAmericans thrilled by the Times national poll showing Trump up 1.