Axios: “Joe Biden or President Trump could win the election narrowly — but only one in a popular and electoral vote blowout. A Biden blowout would mean a Democratic Senate, a bigger Democratic House and a huge political and policy shift nationwide. The reason this scenario is worth reflecting on is both the consequences, and because campaign advisers in both camps see it as a possibility. Polls show the path for Biden is quite plausible: He is winning in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania, and essentially even in Florida — all Trump states in 2016. And remember: Trump lost the popular vote by 3 million last time to a much more unpopular Democrat, Hillary Clinton.”

“Biden, thanks in part to changing demographics, is running close or better in red states Texas, Georgia, Arizona, Iowa and North Carolina. In 2018, Democrats saw record turnout, especially among women. The early requests for ballots in key states suggest the enthusiasm persists at record levels. Democrats are raising money like rich Republicans — and, in fact, have a lot more than Trump and his allies, even though they are out of power. Between the lines: The N.Y. Times’ Nate Cohn puts it this way: ‘[A] Biden landslide is just as real a possibility as a Trump victory… If Mr. Biden outperformed today’s polls by just two points, he would be declared the winner early on election night and have a good shot at the largest electoral vote landslide since 1988.'”