On the question “Thinking about this November’s elections, if one candidate favors keeping abortion legal and available and the other candidate favors limiting abortion except to protect the mother’s life, which candidate would you be more likely to support?” of the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll survey, 49% of respondents said they would vote for the pro-choice candidate while 27% supported the forced birther on this “generic ballot”-adjacent question for races at all levels.
Another 22% answered “The abortion issue would not matter in my vote,” so it’s not a crushing, overwhelming advantage for Democrats on the question it might first appear, as putting the latter two together makes it a 49-49 tie. Not hard to imagine a lot of those 22% are Republican voters agnostic on the issue, thinking “Who cares about abortion? The goddamn border’s open and crime and muh gas prices!” That said, surely there are plenty of would-be Dem voters not particularly animated by the issue either, among them older voters watching the GOP do nothing to help them with prescription drug costs, for example. Then there’s also that the question included “except to protect the mother’s life,” a qualifier that is not a hypothetical in quite a few states that have outlawed abortion since the Supreme Court extremists overturned Roe v Wade.