A new national survey of voters 18 to 29 by the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics among finds a small drop in enthusiasm since the same point in 2019 for Democrats in the bracket, with those saying they will “definitely vote” down to 66 from 68 percent, Axios reports.
Among Republicans 18 to 29 the decline is steeper: 66 percent in the fall of 2019 to 56 in 2023. The poll also found Biden leading Trump by 11 percent among 18 to 29 year olds in a head-to-head. What the actual number is we don’t know because stupid Axios didn’t include it in their report. They did however include that Biden leads Trump 29 to 25 percent when RFK Jr (10 percent), Cornel West (3 percent), and Joe Manchin (2 percent, lol) are added to the mix, with 31 percent undecided.
Not great, considering Biden won the youth vote by 26 percent in 2020 and Democrats won it by 37 percent in 2022. Still far from the fucking bleak picture the circlejerkers at Emerson would have you believe with their Trump 45 – Biden 43 among 18 to 29s finding in their bullshit October poll. Biden’s ceiling is far higher among younger voters and the challenge in 2024 is much more about getting them to show up than it is with trying to win over the relative few affirmatively on Team MAGA.