A new Noble Insights/Center Square survey finds that 41 percent of likely voters say disgraced former President Trump should be removed from the 2024 ballot under the 14th Amendment versus 40 percent who say he should remain no matter what, right wing outlet the Washington Examiner reports in an article headlined “Poll: Voters split on attempts to remove Trump from ballot.”

We’ll allow that’s a “split” even though no there’s actually a very slightly larger plurality saying the fat bastard should be disqualified. It’s their hairsplitting on a pretty important conditional that makes this so funny: “Conversely, 40% say he should not be removed from the ballot and that ‘voters should decide whether he gets another term.’ The poll also found 15% think Trump should be removed from ballots ‘only if’ he’s convicted in relation to Jan 6, and 5% say they’re ‘not sure.’ Since Trump has not been convicted, a majority – 55% – now say he should remain on the ballot.”

So really 56 percent say the Orange God Emperor should be disqualified in the fairly likely event that he’s convicted in the DC coup attempt trial, making that “Since Trump has not been convicted, a majority – 55% – now say he should remain on the ballot” part sound pretty wishcast-y as it’s definitely not the kind of “enthusiasm” the MAGA kids should want to see right now. Again this is in a likely voter survey, which is where you start to see a clearer picture of the electorate.

And it doesn’t quite seem like an outlier either, as a new Reuters/Ipsos survey published Wednesday finds on the question of “If all other things were equal, would you vote for Donald Trump for president in 2024 if he is/has been… Convicted of a felony crime by a jury,” a staggering 58 percent of registered voters say they “Would NOT vote for Donald Trump” to just 20 percent would, with 20 percent of Republicans and 55 percent of indies saying they would not. Ipsos also found Biden leading Trump 40 to 38 in the general, which we think is an improvement for Joe over their last poll.