A new survey of Pennsylvania voters conducted by Trump campaign internal pollster Fabrizio and Lee finds convicted felon former President Trump tied at 48 percent each or 45 each with the full field of Russian assets Robert F Kennedy Jr, Cornel West, and Jill Stein included as options.
It gets better. Not so much the data in the poll itself or even the pollster, really.
New poll by Fabrizio Lee & Associates in PA for @EarlyVoteAction PAC shows Trump and Harris tied 48-48, and 45-45 when a third party candidate is introduced: pic.twitter.com/87BjuhKjKS
— Meridith McGraw (@meridithmcgraw) August 5, 2024
Reporters gonna report no matter where a leak comes from, even – actually especially – when a page says “CONFIDENTIAL MEMORANDUM” in caps and bold at the top. Trump campaign internal pollster Tony Fabrizio’s reputation is a little uneven: It appears he was the guy who came up with that ridiculous “honeymoon” line in the first few days of Harris’s bid (like what the fuck kind of national campaign feels the need to spin talking points to their own staff?), but we understood and still do that generally his operation is considered to be the gold standard in private polling. Also certainly helps that in 2020 Trump nearly fired Fabrizio multiple times (and still owed him hundreds of thousands after the campaign) for not telling him what he wanted to hear.
What makes this pretty goddamned funny is who paid for it: The Early Vote Action PAC, led by racist, QAnon-pilled sex freak MAGA activist Scott Presler… And his reaction to the memo’s leak.
Thank you for posting our @EarlyVoteAction commissioned poll.
It’s important to note that 41% of this poll is from the Philly market.
Also, the sample is 44% Democrat & 42% Republican.
I included the entire memo. pic.twitter.com/3V7o1nKVo5
— ThePersistence (@ScottPresler) August 5, 2024
Definitely sensing a little buyer’s remorse there from the kind of guy who was fired from a job with Virginia Republican Party in 2016 for having sex with another man in the office and posting pics of it on Craigslist. Also seems like the kind of guy to publicly piss on the sampling methods of a survey he paid certainly a shit ton of money for to use as data for his own team’s canvassing. We can’t speak for the party makeup of the sample, but it doesn’t sound too wacky since registered partisans are more likely to vote than indies (an NYT/Siena Pennsylvania poll from last month’s sample was 36 percent D, 35 percent R, 21 percent I). The bitching about the “Philly market” being 41 percent of the state’s electorate is even better: The most conservative estimates would say at least 37 percent of the Keystone State’s population resides within Philadelphia media market’s region.
Rapunzel man should work harder, not saltier.