A new set of New York Times/Siena College surveys finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading convicted felon former President Trump 50 to 46 among likely voters in the do-or-die state of Pennsylvania, but tied at 47 percent nationwide, a slight improvement for the veep from last week.
The Times’s polling egghead Nate Cohn, obviously “puzzled,” writes “If true, it would suggest that Trump’s advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the popular vote, has declined significantly since 2020. This wouldn’t come from nowhere: Almost exactly one year ago, I wrote that there were signs that Trump’s Electoral College edge was fading, including in the 2022 midterm elections. In fact, today’s poll result is reminiscent of our polling ahead of the midterms, which found Republicans leading nationally but Democrats running strong in Pennsylvania and other battlegrounds.”
“It was hard to believe given recent history – I didn’t believe it, and neither did others pollsters I spoke with – but it turned out to be right,” Cohn continued, probably fully aware he’s about to catch a whole world of shit from the irritable MAGA scumbags triggered by the Pennsylvania finding.