“Satellite imagery shows showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized around an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. However, the system still appears to lack a well-defined center of circulation. Environmental conditions remain favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours: high, near 100 percent. Formation chance through 7 days: high, near 100 percent,” says a Wednesday bulletin from the National Hurricane Center on would-be storm Alvin.
Hurricane season doesn’t actually officially start until this Sunday, June 1st. Might as well start early.