A new Franklin and Marshall College survey of Pennsylvania voters finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading convicted felon former President Trump 48 to 44 percent among registered voters in the Keystone State while among likely voters Trump leads 49.6 percent to 49.3 percent. Polling egghead Adam Carlson writes that the pollster appears to have fucked up the likely voter screen by having respondents self-report it so we’ll stick with the registered voter number in the lede.
Emerson College meanwhile finds Trump leading Harris 50 to 48 percent in North Carolina and 49 to 48 percent in Wisconsin. That’s probably good because Emerson’s always a few points pro-MAGA.
Lastly Marist College/NPR/PBS News found Georgia tied at 49 percent each, while Trump is up 50 to 49 in Arizona and 50 to 48 in North Carolina among likely voters in all three states. The registered voter numbers are again better for Harris in each of the states, putting her up 49 to 48 percent in Georgia, tied at 49 in Arizona, and down 49 to 48 percent against Trump in North Carolina.
Extra lastly, a new set of Bloomberg/Morning Consult swing state surveys finds Harris leading Trump 50 to 47 in Michigan, 49 to 48 percent in Nevada, and 50 to 48 in Pennsylvania while Arizona and Wisconsin are tied it 49 and 48 percent, respectively and Trump leads 50 to 48 percent in Georgia and 50 to 49 percent in North Carolina. 0mG TeH rACe cULdnT B cL0sErR!!!!!!1111!!!!