Jessica Taylor: “To be sure, Gardner was one of the most endangered incumbents even before he staked out this controversial position [on confirming a Trump Supreme Court nominee] that will surely be at odds with many Colorado voters. He represents the state that Trump lost by the biggest margin (five-points) of any Republican up in 2020, and that gap is expected to widen in November. The Centennial State has been steadily trending toward Democrats the past two cycles. In 2018, Democrat Jared Polis won the gubernatorial race by more than 10 points, and moderate Republican Rep. Mike Coffman lost re-election in the fast-growing Denver suburbs by 11 points”