Well first the actual news that led to the discovery of this fuckup: Fat former President Trump’s turnout in Tuesday’s uncontested Republican primaries continued to lag that of his uncontested primaries in 2020, showing a drop in the “enthusiasm” for him touted back then.
| Date | State | 2020 | 2024 | Percentage change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 2, 2024 | Connecticut | 71,667 | 33,648 | – 53.04 |
| Rhode Island | 19,176 | 10,553 | – 44.96 | |
| Wisconsin | 616,782 | 472,227 | – 23.43 |
That’s the trend I identified in Saturday’s lengthy piece titled “Not better off than he was four years ago.” As I was wrapping it up when I was tired, distracted, and nearly passed out in the shower less than an hour later due to I still don’t know what the hell happened but I got really sick and it fucking sucked, especially on Easter. The point is that the bottom line I stated in that article was wildly off: The circa nine million vote/69 percent deficit from 2020 was, as of Saturday, actually just over a million and 8.94 percent. Don’t know what the fuck I did wrong, but I think it was a stray click in the 2024 column’s sum formula on my spreadsheet. Just a visual review would’ve caught that.
Irrespective of my dumbassery that nearly 9 percent drop overall as of Saturday, which increases to 9.7 percent as of Wednesday, and stands at 17.11 percent since Nikki Haley dropped out on March 6th is just… It’s really not a good sign for the fat fuck when we were told in 2020 that he was absolutely unstoppable because he got so many of his fans to show up for him in uncontested primaries. It got even worse this week in the three states that had primaries on Tuesday (well it was four, but the New York GOP canceled their primary in 2020 so we kind of can’t run a comparison).
Again, we think this is a more useful means of gauging Trump’s “enthusiasm” going into November, even more so than the Nikki Haley protest votes – of which are loads of Dem sandbaggers in the open primaries and future Trump 2024 voters in the closed ones both before and after she dropped out. We’ll keep updating this primary turnout scorecard going forward to see if there’s any shifts.
Since we’re on the topic of “enthusiasm,” here’s one more metric the fanboys LOVE drooling over:
Who will win the 2024 presidential election by @Polymarket
Donald Trump 55% (+23)
Joe Biden 32%
Michelle Obama 6%
Gavin Newsom 3%
REK Jr 2%
Kamala Harris 2%https://t.co/g783MHEMZg pic.twitter.com/K1MSXArcsb— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) February 20, 2024
Or maybe they did love it because…
Presidential election winner – Odds by @Polymarket
🔴 Trump 49% (+7)
🔵 Biden 42%
🟡 Kennedy 5%
🟣 M Obama 2%
🟢 Harris 2%💵 Total Bet – $102,767,944https://t.co/8BNwf8gsNz pic.twitter.com/f12SCjqXsj
— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) April 3, 2024
*No we’re not taking fucking “Polymarket” bets seriously because only chodes do that. We’re just showing how it’s now unambiguously trending the wrong way for said chodes.