Tuesday, Wednesday, and however many days come after it represent what could be a critical juncture for how next year’s midterms shake out, so maaaaaybe it’s not that early to do a rundown?

To begin, this week’s Economist/YouGov poll brings some of the usual laughs, like that only 72 percent of Trump 2024 voters said yes to the question of whether former FBI Director James Comey committed obstruction of justice, just 64 percent said no when asked “Is Trump Prosecuting Comey for Political Reasons?” and 53 percent of Trump fans saying no vs 21 percent admitting yes when asked if their Orange Jesus is directing the DOJ to harass his political opponents.

Then there’s 71 percent of Trump voters who approve of the Comey indictment – and there’s prooooobably plenty of overlap between that subsample and those who admitted that it is political.

But it’s two other more generic – outright ubiquitous among other major big pollsters – questions’ findings on the poll that merit attention here, if only to vainly attempt a counter to this background noise circlejerk that’s been going on for months now: “Favorability of Congressional Political Parties” on which among respondents overall the Democrats rate at an abysmal 32 percent favorability to 58 percent unfavorable. It’s the kind of numbers Axios faps to with headlines like “Democrats hammered by ugly unpopularity numbers,” Breitbart with “Poll: Dem Favorability Hits 35-Year Low as GOP Gains Trust on Key Issues,” and so on in the mainstream and MAGA mediaverses.

Meanwhile on the very next question YouGov asks the same of Congressional Republicans and, wait for it, they land at 36 percent favorability to 55 percent unfavorable. So they’re 4 percent more favorable of 7 percent closer to zero on net favorable/unfavorable than Democrats are.

God forbid this twat acknowledge that while also trying to hype the the Dems’ low numbers.

I’m not going to let Trump Derangement Syndrome buffoons LIE about the president’s record of peacemaking around the globe.

There are too many Democrats outright rooting for failure. It’s why they have a 33% approval rating. pic.twitter.com/dJ16sSM8OZ

— Scott Jennings (@ScottJenningsKY) August 12, 2025

In the slightest bit of fairness the Dems being the outparty and on offense next year would obviously want to be both in the black and significantly ahead of MAGA on favorability. But a November 2017 CNN poll found Dems at just 37 percent favorability to the GOP’s 30 percent and you all know what happened the next year. Here’s another kind of important catch the circlejerkers blithely ignore:

…and for comparison…

The gap between approvers/disapprovers of each party among their identified members is similar to the overall delta, but among the respective voters of each 2024 candidate well, you can see the disappointment with the pretty feckless, impotent “leadership” of Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries right here in front of you in black and white – which is really the only reason there’s a difference between the approval of elected Democrats and Republicans at all these days.

Let’s be clear though( if it isn’t already): This site does not actually take these numbers or from any other pollsters on this metric especially seriously. If you do take them seriously then you also have to consider that the only reason Republicans have any particular “advantage” on favorability is because Dem voters aren’t actually happy with their party right now. If you think that unhappiness is going to somehow translate to Kamala Harris voters switching sides and becoming MAGA – which is what sluts like Scott Jennings seem to want to imply – then you need to lay off the goddamned PCP.

A lot of pundits are pointing out how Tuesday is 12 years to the day exactly since the last time the opposition party was hours away from forcing a government shutdown over Obamacare. Funny enough Gallup measured the popularity of the two parties that week and here’s what they found:

Funny enough that opposition party also had a pretty solid lock on high-propensity voters while the other was dependent on low-infos who only showed up for presidential elections. Turnout collapsed the next year, the lowest share of eligible voters casting ballots in literally a century. Dems under Obama lost NINE Senate seats that year, and the scale of how badly they lost the House – 16 seats flipped – by was obscured by the net 55 seats flipped red between 2010 and 2012. It probably would’ve been about 71 seats lost for the Dems in 2014 if 2010 hadn’t already happened.

House Dems got 29.8 million fewer votes in 2014 than Obama did in 2012 while the House GOP got about 20 million fewer than Mitt Romney did. The dropoff in 2018 from 2016 was much smaller: Dems lost 3 million to MAGA’s 12 million, during what had been pretty good economic times.

Next year? We’ll see. Sure, Trump may not suffer the same “meh” among his base that Obama did in his two midterms, but given political dysfunction, withdrawal, and widespread dissatisfaction there’s a serious threat of a turnout collapse and, with the propensity advantage Republicans used to enjoy being completely reversed, that could be very bad news for the fat fuck. It may not be out of the question that his party ends up pulling in 20-odd million fewer votes than he did last year.

The Economist/YouGov survey also found Dems leading Republicans 41 to 35 percent on the generic congressional ballot, with 10 percent undecided. That’s probably less instructive than the fact that already 12 percent of respondents said “I would not vote.” That sounds pretty high, right?

For the third time today watch the fat bastard increase voter disgust live: