Politico: “Democrats have opened up a yawning gap in early voting over Republicans in six of the most crucial battleground states — but that only begins to tell the story of their advantage heading into Election Day. In a more worrisome sign for Republicans, Democrats are also turning out more low-frequency and newly registered voters than the GOP, according to internal data shared with POLITICO by Hawkfish, a new Democratic research firm, which was reviewed by Republicans and independent experts.”
“The turnout data does not mean Donald Trump will lose to Joe Biden. Both sides are bracing for a close race and a giant wave of Republicans to vote in person on Nov. 3. Yet the turnout disparity with new and less-reliable voters has forced Republican political operatives to take notice. ‘It’s a warning flare,’ said veteran Republican strategist Scott Reed. ‘Some Republicans are stuck in a model that we always run up the score on Election Day to make up the difference,’ Reed said. ‘I think running an election in a superpolarized electorate, you want to win early voting. Let’s go. Let’s stop talking and making excuses.'”