“Wow!!! A just out poll has Jack Ciattarelli essentially beating close to incompetent Mike Sherrill in the race for Governor of New Jersey. Jack is tough on crime and cutting taxes, two things that people really demand today. He will be a GREAT Governor, and Sherrill wants Open Borders (again!), men playing in Women’s Sports, Transgender for everyone, and all of the things that almost DESTROYED America. She is a big supporter of the perhaps future Communist Mayor of New York City! We need Jack in New Jersey!!!” posted convicted felon President Trump on Thursday, celebrating an Emerson/TheHill survey that found Dem Congresswoman Mikie Sherrill (the fat fuck probably spelled it “Mike” on purpose) and 2021 Republican gubernatorial loser Jack Shittarelli (spelling that phonetically on purpose here) tied at 43 percent each, the first to find it closer than the 6 to 10 percent range lead for Sherrill outside of a lone internal GOP poll that put Shittarelli at +1.
Now to their credit Emerson pretty much nailed the 2024 presidential election putting Trump and Harris at a 49 percent tie in their final national poll while the swing states were all close to the margin of error. Which could mean they got their shit together since their very lengthy record of failures before then. That lowlight reel includes finding Dem Congressman Tom Suozzi +4 ahead of that Mazi Pilip idiot in the February 2024 New York 3rd special election, Suozzi won +8. In November 2023 they put Kentucky Attorney General Dan Cameron +1 over Dem Governor Andy Beshear. Then Beshear won by 5. In 2022 now-Senator John Fetterman was behind Mehmet Oz by 1 percent in Emerson’s final poll, then Fetterman won by 5. That Tudor Dixon dumbass was trailing Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer by 5 according to Emerson, Dixon lost by more than twice that. That Adam Laxalt dickbag was smoking Nevada Dem Senator Catharine Cortez Masto by 5. Then oops, she won in a squeaker and no, the above list is not at all comprehensive of the 2022 midterms.
It is long enough to demonstrate their record of misses, all of them overrating MAGA in Biden-era non-presidential contests however. That this New Jersey poll is an outlier does not bode very well.