Politico Playbook: “The undertold story in Washington right now is how Kevin McCarthy’s House Republican minority is likely to thin quite significantly after this election. Steve Shepard, our election guru, has moved a few Republican incumbents’ seats toward Democrats in his forecast: Reps. Anne Wagner in the St. Louis burbs, Jim Hagedorn in Minnesota and Steve Chabot in the Cincinnati area.”
“Our over/under is Republicans taking a net loss of seven seats. Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report pegged the losses at between five and 15 seats. Here’s a question to ponder: Who in Republican leadership takes the fall if Republicans lose as many as 10 seats? Shepard has also put Joe Biden over 270 electoral votes, which would, of course, hand him the presidency.”