A new Yahoo News/YouGov survey finds President Biden leading disgraced former President Trump 47 to 38 percent in a 2024 rematch “if Trump is convicted of a serious crime in the coming months.”
A writeup from Yahoo News says “support for Trump falls by 3 points, from 41% to 38%, while the overall number of voters who say they’re not sure (9%) or that they would not vote (6%) increases by 3 points” even though the crosstab data doesn’t appear to show the non-convicted Trump matchup numbers, so the race as it stands is Biden 47 – Trump 41. Among Republican respondents, Trump would still lead the GOP field 35 percent to heels-weaing Florida Govenor Ron DeSantis’s 20 percent under if convicted before the primary contest is decided – less likely than November 2024 and really would have to come before Super Tuesday on March 5th at the absolute latest.
Other findings: Large majorities, 66 percent and 70 percent, say stealing classified documents and trying to overthrow democracy are serious crimes, respectively, underscoring the potential political damage the Orange God Emperor faces in going on trial for those offenses during his campaign for “retribution.” A tenth of respondents overall and 22 percent of Trump 2020 voters said the January 6th insurrection was justified – 21 percent overall and 25 percent of Trump voters said “Not sure” which sure as shit is closer to saying “Yeah it was justified” than that it wasn’t.