If Cook Political Report’s polling is anything like their race analyses then this would be the ballgame. But stupid margins of error and all that shit, so no. It’s not the ballgame. Still must feel like a very hard punch in the dick to the fanboys who thrilled to those Biden numbers in May.
And from August too as Trump had a +6 advantage on who would be better to handle inflation now tied at 47 percent. His edge on immigration also slipped from +14 to +9 percent.