Categories
Uncategorized

The meltdown over the Selzer poll is better than the poll itself

Fox News is treating this Sunday like a weekday so the couch’s “A-team” are in – as are “The Five,” Frau Ingraham, Jesse Watters, Hannity, etc – and they are NOT pleased with the seismic Saturday night drop of the Ann Selzer Iowa survey, with the blonde one pointing out that Selzer’s final pre-2024 GOP caucus poll found Nikki Haley ahead of Ron DeSantis, which is… Well the top four of the last Selzer GOP poll was Trump 48, Haley 20, DeSantis 16, Ramaswamy 8 percent. The actual top four result was Trump 51, DeSantis 21, Haley 19, Ramaswamy 8 percent. So not that bad of a “miss.”

Nobody in the anti-Trump coalition with a lick of sense believes Vice President Harris has any realistic shot of winning Iowa. This finding is almost certainly an outlier. The problem for MAGA world is that we were happy with Selzer’s Trump 47 – Harris 43 finding in September. Hell if it lined up with Trump’s 53-45 win over Biden in the state in 2020 we would quietly do a little fist pump.

It’s not the numbers, it’s the cope – the exquisite, artisanal, handcrafted – such as the Trump campaign telling that reporter they’re “questioning the timing of this release right before all the Sunday shows that everybody has to talk about it today.” That one belongs on a plaque.

And they probably stole from this Rasmussen douchebag:

Then there’s Rapunzel man being “sarcastic”:

Charlie Kirk lost it:

“This a media-designed tactic to suppress turnout. Look at the candidates actions not just fake polls. This should piss you off and inspire you to bring 5 more friends to vote,” Kirk continued.

We’re not going to paste in what Pizzagate asshole wrote under the cutoff here. He almost certainly pasted it in himself and it’s all bullshit anyway. There’s no doubt what he was talking about though:

“No President has done more for FARMERS, and the Great State of Iowa, than Donald J Trump. In fact, it’s not even close! All polls, except for one heavily skewed toward the Democrats by a Trump hater who called it totally wrong the last time, have me up, BY A LOT. I LOVE THE FARMERS, AND THEY LOVE ME. THE JUST OUT EMERSON POLL HAS ME UP 10 POINTS IN IOWA,” posted convicted felon former President Trump just this morning, lol. Sounds like maybe his handlers had to get him to avoid naming names with Selzer and to focus on the Emerson one finding him up 53 to 43 percent.

In fact that was what his campaign did on Saturday night, putting out another one of their famous “unskewing” memos (which we haven’t seen them do since August) in which Team Orange’s polling eggheads wrote “Des Moines Register is a clear outlier poll. Emerson College, released today, far more closely reflects the state of the actual Iowa electorate and does so with far more transparency in their methodology… To their credit, the Emerson College poll has an R+4 party split (below 2020 exit polls at R+10), and a Trump +8 recalled 2020 vote margin that aligns with reported returns. Emerson shows Trump ahead of Harris 53-43 in their survey. In the outlier Des Moines Register poll, they claim Harris leads with seniors (age 65+) by 19 points (55-36). In 2020, President Trump carried seniors 54-45 over Biden according to CNN exit polls,” and blah blah blah.

One other tin-foil-y aspect to this: The Emerson poll was not in-house, nor was it their usual sponsor at The Hill. Most of their surveys are either one or the other. But over the last few weeks they’ve actually been commissioned by right wing aggregator/”news” site Real Clear Politics (though this Iowa one is “RealClearDefense”). It’s worth asking whether these dildos – famous for feeding complete horseshit “Red Wave” findings into the averages in with legitimate pollsters and then even rigging that too – knew that Selzer would be coming out with a final poll around this time and got Emerson to conduct one ready to drop when they got the heads up that Selzer was in the field.

Is that petty and stupid to suspect? Yes. Does that mean it’s wrong? No, lol.

Created by potrace 1.16, written by Peter Selinger 2001-2019

Jaydee’s Budapest Blast set for April 7-8th

25 minutes ago

WATCH LIVE: Karoline’s Kampf

2 hours ago

Fourth Musketeer’s skeleton possibly found in Netherlands

3 hours ago

Fat idiot adds misplaced apostrophe to self-contradictory lie

4 hours ago

Fox News guy not cutting Jesus Dork any slack, at all

4 hours ago

White House oligarch council named

5 hours ago

“Lol, no”: Iranians on Trump ceasefire offer

6 hours ago

Farm bailout champion alleges Blue States using food stamps and other welfare benefits to buy voters off and keep Dems in power

7 hours ago

Military officials brief toddler with video reel of “stuff blowing up”

8 hours ago

Raskin says Trump had financial motive for stealing docs

9 hours ago

Unintelligence official accuses Mike Flynn, etc of treason

10 hours ago

Dem flips Palm Beach Florida state House seat

20 hours ago

Orange Man endorses Orban, again, for like the third time this year

20 hours ago

John Brennan under criminal investigation

21 hours ago

North Carolina state Senate President concedes primary defeat

22 hours ago

Top Box-o-Wine lieutenant admitted there’s no case against Powell

23 hours ago

WATCH LIVE: Markwayne sworn in as second choice after Noem

1 day ago

Florida lawmakers end session before banning synthetic opioid

1 day ago

Ted Cruz hails the courage of Republican Senators who stood up to corrupt, dangerous president and forced him to resign in shame

1 day ago

Steve Bannon gets excited about deploying ICE for midterms again

1 day ago

Delta suspends special Congressional fast lane

1 day ago

Cornhole amped to piss away $200 billion on another forever war

1 day ago

Groomer just completely screwed in Tennessee GOP gov primary

1 day ago

Trump to host notorious Jeffrey Epstein accomplice’s brother

1 day ago

Couchman outraged at air travelers mocking, heckling ICE agents

1 day ago

Jaydee privately rips into Netanyahu over West Bank settler rioting

1 day ago

Fat Hitler votes by mail, again

1 day ago

Bloomberg reports lobster in life vest a symbol of business peril

1 day ago

You’ll never guess who cut off a dead raccoon’s cock and saved it

2 days ago

Oversharing online in 2026: Is now the time?

2 days ago

Regime paying French company $1 billion to not build wind farms

2 days ago

WATCH LIVE: SAVE Act kayfabe continues

2 days ago

Kalshi to ban athletes and politicians from platform

2 days ago

Top AIPAC donor, OnlyFans founder dead at 43

2 days ago

Frau Ingraham says paying TSA an unacceptable surrender

2 days ago

Orange God Emperor skipping mass cult gathering

2 days ago

Quadruple amputee arrested for shooting passenger dead while driving: DC CBS affiliate that also says suspect a “cornhole player”

2 days ago

Trump headlines some bullshit “safety” event: Watch live

2 days ago

“Linda in Arizona” came up with ICE at airports idea

2 days ago

Charlie Kirk’s “mentor” dead of “freak” pickleball accident at 76

2 days ago

WATCH LIVE: Orange Mental Patient yells at reporters

2 days ago

Welsh drug dealer told to turn self in during normal business hours

2 days ago

Viktor Orban orders probe into Russian collusion accusations

2 days ago

Comer not so sure Iranian state TV being honest or trustworthy

2 days ago

Fentanyl found in Missouri store’s Barbie dolls

2 days ago

Newark Liberty Airport evacuated, FAA orders ground stop

2 days ago

Top incel thought leader skeptical of Trump foreign policy moves

2 days ago

Iranian TV: “US president backs down following Iran’s firm warning”

2 days ago

LOOKS LIKE SOMEONE FREAKED OUT AT $99/BARREL OIL

2 days ago

“Some Republicans took that as a threat, not a reward”

2 days ago

x
x
x
x
x
x