GQR Research: “There is no realistic path to a second Trump term without Florida. A recent survey of likely general election voters in Florida shows the race is competitive but finds Democrat Joe Biden with a 5-point lead over Republican Donald Trump: 51 percent Biden, 46 percent Trump. 1 This outcome mirrors a recent Quinnipiac survey showing Biden leading Florida by 3 points. Biden’s margin reflects a massive lead among Black voters and non-Cuban Hispanics. Biden also leads Trump among unaffiliated voters and white college voters. Biden’s strength among white college voters (52 percent Biden – 46 percent Trump) will be important to maintain, as it is likely that Biden may not match Clinton’s performance among Hispanics due to Trump’s resurgence among Cuban voters. Trump is currently rated 56 percent favorable – 42 percent unfavorable among Cuban voters and leads Biden by 18 points. Non-Cuban Hispanic voters give Trump a 40 percent favorable – 55 percent unfavorable rating and give Biden a 55 to 38 percent electorate margin.”