The hallowed J Ann Selzer poll of Iowa voters, long revered by politics eggheads as the platinum standard in gauging how the Midwest will swing, has itself swung dramatically toward Kamala Harris from Joe Biden against convicted felon former President Trump in the Cornhole State.
Trump +18 in Iowa to Trump +4 has got to be one of the most stunning and ridiculous Democrat comebacks in the history of politics.
I've polled over 11k respondents about Harris, and she just doesn't poll that differently than Biden.
— Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports (@Mark_R_Mitchell) September 15, 2024
You can tell how dramatically just by this Rasmussen dipshit’s horrified reaction: In June, the same pollster found Trump leading President Biden 50 to 32 percent – now Trump leads Harris by 47 to 43 percent, with Brainworms Bobby in third at 6 percent. “I wouldn’t say 4 points is comfortable” for Trump, said Selzer to the Des Moines Register. “The race has tightened significantly.”
The 18 point gap for Biden was seen as a harbinger of doom for the incumbent president in Wisconsin and Michigan, states he absolutely needed to win. It should also be noted however that in September 2020 Selzer found Biden and Trump tied, shifting back to Trump +7 the next month – he ultimately won it by 8 percent, so stay tuned for the next finding from Selzer and crew. And if it wasn’t already obvious here, no one should be under any illusion that Harris is going to flip Iowa, it’s just that the finding says a lot about how Wisconsin, Michigan, and Nebraska’s 2nd are going to go.