A new Marquette University Law School survey finds President Joe Biden leading disgraced former President Trump 45 to 42 percent in Wisconsin in a 2024 matchup, which proves absolutely, with zero uncertainty that Joe Biden is going to win reelection. No, sorry, it’s not an outlier.
The simple truth is that a lot of Cheesehead state voters simply aren’t getting the full message about Trump’s recent accomplishments in accusing a New York State judge of being a Soros-paid agent and declaring the whole trial to be “election interference.” You can scream all day about how a Republican governor just won reelection in Mississippi and how it shows that pollsters are underrating GOP strength next year, it’s not going to change the fact that Marquette polls are super accurate and predictive of results. Sorry. Trump’s going to lose in Wisconsin which makes it so much harder for him to win the Electoral College. Basically impossible. It’s pretty much over already.
Look, we cover a lot of elections, we’ve been doing it for like three and a half years now. That’s a lot of experience you don’t have which we’re going to lord over you with supreme confidence. This stuff is hard work, you can’t just slap together a WordPress blog in a couple of hours and say “Hey guys, check out my new website!” to your internet friends and then act like you’re some kind of expert. The bottom line is we know politics here, you don’t. So if we say Trump is in trouble in Wisconsin it means he’s in trouble everywhere and that’s it. Blue wave incoming. MAGA in disarray. End of story.
PS: We’re just not going to respond in the comments to anyone who challenges the narrative we’ve just set forth in this piece, especially using past forecasting errors. It makes things easier for us to simply not have to defend the conclusions we worked backward from to arrive here. But feel free to waste your time anyway. Ignoring you pointing out flaws in our analyses simply because they’re in conflict with you what you wanted to hear us tell you is what being a polling expert is all about.