“If the presidential election were held today, President Biden would outperform former President Trump among both registered (50 percent Biden, 37 percent Trump) and likely young voters under 30 (56 percent Biden, 37 percent Trump). When there is no voter screen (ie, all young adults 18-29), the race narrows to single digits, 45 percent for President Biden, 37 percent for former President Trump, with 16 percent undecided,” says a Harvard Kennedy survey of young voters.
Harvard pollster John Della Volpe tells Politico that “For a Democrat to comfortably win the Electoral College, he or she needs to win 60 percent of the youth vote. Biden and Obama, 2012 and 2020, won 60 percent. Obama got 66 percent in 2008. John Kerry and Hillary Clinton got 55 percent. Biden is in the mid-50s. Can you improve that to get to 60 percent? It’s within reach”