Holy shit. Once again, we’re very skeptical. Especially of this one – and on both ends. The 9 percent net lead gap between Arizona and Nevada is definitely off. Those two states are not the same but they’re not 9 points apart either. Same but less so with Georgia and North Carolina, as it’s extremely hard to see Harris winning NC by a bigger margin than GA, let alone win NC at all.

That movement from Biden in May though, just three weeks into Harris v Trump. And how much Bobby Jr is costing the fat bastard. The opinion findings get crueler as Cook writes Harris is “tied with Trump on topics where Trump has staked much of his candidacy like ‘makes you feel safer’ (46 percent Harris to 45 percent Trump) and ‘enforcing the rule of law’ (47 percent Harris to 46 percent Trump), and she leads Trump by four on who voters believe would be a ‘smart president.'”

“To me, the ‘feel safer’ number is the most notable in the poll,” said Patrick Toomey, partner at pollster BSG. “In many ways, we saw that concerns about Biden’s age and mental acuity were preventing him from effectively leveraging issues that should work to Democrats’ advantage, like abortion and health care. Now, we’re seeing how concerns about Trump’s erratic temperament and fixation on retribution are preventing him from converting relative strength on immigration, crime, the economy and foreign policy into making people feel safer with him in charge.”