Vox: “Democrats feel confident about flipping Republican Sen. Cory Gardner’s seat in Colorado for one simple reason: Republican voters there are leaving the party in droves.”
“‘The moderates are being run out of the party, top to bottom,’ said David Flaherty, who runs Colorado-based Republican polling firm Magellan Strategies. ‘It’s really a math problem for all [GOP] candidates, not just Cory Gardner.'”
“Colorado voters elected Gardner in 2014, a year where Republican turnout in the state outnumbered Democratic and unaffiliated turnout. But in the Trump era, many disaffected moderates are registering as unaffiliated voters, leaving a bleak numbers game for Republicans. In Colorado’s 2018 midterms, Magellan analysis found Democratic and unaffiliated voter turnout each surged past Republican turnout — powered by women and younger voters.”
“‘2014 is a different political environment like Saturn is to the moon,’ Flaherty said.”