Bloomberg Businessweek: “With polls since 2016 showing a pronounced senior swing from Trump to Biden, the flood of early votes—especially from non-regular voters—is a worrisome sign for Trump. While it doesn’t guarantee anything, as Democrats learned in 2016, it’s certainly not a positive indicator of a second term for the president. It’s probably why a Covid-stricken Trump, captive in the White House as he recuperated last week, felt compelled to shoot a video aimed at reassuring seniors.”
“‘We think of seniors as a very high-turnout group, so we don’t ordinarily think of them as turnout targets,’ says [Dem data firm TargetSmart CEO Tom] Bonier. ‘But there are plenty of seniors who have never voted before and are voting for the first time. We see that in the data, and we see it in Florida for sure.’ If the surge of senior voters, new and old, keeps up across the next three weeks, Trump’s hope of winning Florida—and reelection—could rapidly vanish on Nov. 3.”