A new set of surveys from Quinnipiac University of likely voters in the Blue Wall states finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading convicted felon former president Trump 50 to 45 percent in Michigan, 51 to 45 percent in Pennsylvania, and 48 to 47 percent in Wisconsin in a full field including all third-party scrubs that remain on the ballot in those three crucial states.
Actually kind of surprising that Pennsylvania would be Harris’s strongest state in this set while Wisconsin would be the tightest. Most other pollsters have been finding the opposite this cycle, going back all the way to the first Biden vs Trump tests last year, that Wisconsin was consistently the bluest while Pennsylvania teetered back and forth but more often toward Donald.
Harris’s debate performance did her a solid on favorability in Pennsylvania, she swung from minus -2 to +5 while Trump stayed at negative -9 since the last time they sampled the Keystone State in early August – when she led Trump 48 to 45 percent. QU did not poll the other two states last month but Harris leads Trump in favorability in both: In Michigan she’s +1 while Trump is again 9 underwater in the Great Lakes State. In Wisconsin both are in the red but Harris is -2 to Trump’s -4 net favorability.