“Based on an update we’ll be releasing later today, we’re now projecting total turnout in the presidential race to be 154 million, with an 80th percentile range between 144 million and 165 million. In 2016, turnout was 137 million, by comparison. The primary ingredient in our turnout estimate is polls that ask people whether they’re more or less enthusiastic about voting than usual, and those polls are showing record levels of enthusiasm” – FiveThirtyEight editor Nate Silver.