Data from the TargetSmart report, which is a combined count of returned ballots from states that publish the data for party registrants and a predictive model of voter affiliation in the states that don’t, puts Democrats ahead nationally at 50.4% of votes (14.8 million) to Republicans’ 39.4% (11.5 million) with the other 10.2% (2.9 million) seen as unaffiliated. Partisan split-wise it’s remarkably close to 2020 at the same point -6 days to the election, at which Dems held 49.5% of the vote to 40.0% GOP. In absolutes overall turnout so far is above 2018’s by about 1.5 million, and the GOP actually had a slight (46.5% to 46%) lead in early turnout at this point before the last midterm.

Now the caveats are this data isn’t perfect and that voters registered as or are predicted to be Democrats aren’t necessarily going to vote for Dem candidates. That aside, it’s hard to square this with all the polling results and horserace circlejerk in the MSM indicating armageddon for the Dems. Strategically this level of early turnout gives Dem campaigns and get out the vote efforts a huge advantage in knowing where to target in order to squeeze more votes out of people before or on election day. It leaves Republicans pinning all their hopes on a 12 or 14 hour window in which any and all sorts of shit can happen to their voters on an individual basis and assholes like Mark Levin soberly imploring fans on Monday to vote early despite widespread antipathy in MAGAmerica.

Speaking to some dickhead on “Real America’s Voice” on Thursday, fat former President Trump whined over Mitch McConnell’s dealings with Democrats on the debt ceiling and said “They ought to impeach” the Senate GOP Leader, who is not actually subject to impeachment. Only officers of the executive and judicial branches can be impeached, not Senators or House members. We thought we’d been over this when Trump and his fanboys called for Mitt Romney to be impeached back in 2019-2020 for not walking the MAGA line with Donald’s scandals. We were obviously wrong.

Incumbents lead challengers in the latest Spectrum News/Siena College survey of two pivotal statewide races in Wisconsin, with Dem Gov Tony Evers leading MAGA asshole Tim Michels 47 to 45 percent, and dipshit GOP Senator Ron Johnson ahead of Dem Lt Gov Mandela Barnes by the same total and margin in the never ending hellscape of political trench warfare in the Cheesehead State.

The four top 2020 election denier candidates for Secretary of State in battlegrounds aren’t doing so great even in the polls that show close races or leads for other Republicans in statewide contests, showing the limited appeal of the “fuck democracy, lol” platform spearheaded by QAnon influencer and JFK Jr impersonator “Juan O Savin,” the Washington Post reports.

The two with the best shot, insurrectionists Jim Marchant in Nevada and Mark Finchem in Arizona, trail their Dem opponents by 4% and 7% respectively in the most recent NYT/Siena College polls. Meanwhile, in Michigan, incumbent Dem Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson leads MAGA psychopath Kristina Karamo by nearly double digits. In New Mexico, MAGA candidate Audrey Trujillo trails her opponent by 15 points. Minnesota Secretary of State candidate Kim Crockett, who called the expansion of mail-in voting in 2020 “our 9/11,” is down 7% in the latest poll.

If Democrats really want to build voter confidence in elections shouldn’t they support voter ID, bipartisan observers, regular audits and 24/7 surveillance on all dropboxes—all commonsense measures to ensure that the process is fair and the votes accurately counted? #bidenspeech

— Dinesh D'Souza (@DineshDSouza) November 3, 2022

An ally of Pakistani ex-Prime Minister Imran Khan said Thursday that the former leader has been wounded in a shooting at a rally in Punjab province, Bloomberg reports. “He is stable. The bullet hit his leg. He is being shifted to a hospital in Lahore,” said Asad Umar, former finance minister and leader of Khan’s party, told a TV channel. The former Prime Minister, expelled from office by the National Assembly earlier this year on corruption charges and last month barred from running again, has been leading his fans toward the capital Islamabad to demand new elections.

Probably owing to the last minute announcement of the speech, only six MAGA partisans managed to show up outside of President Biden’s Wednesday evening speech at DC’s Union Station to protest his pro-democracy message, the Daily Beast reports. The MAGAmericans present were members of the “1776 Restoration Movement,” the final remnants of the “People’s Convoy” clustertruck which fell apart before it really started causing chaos in the DC area earlier this year on the heels of the much more successful Ottawa anti-COVID vaccine clustertruck protest in Canada.

A majority on the all-Republicans board of supervisors in rural Pinal County, Arizona at a public meeting on Wednesday rejected a proposal for a full or expanded hand count of ballots cast in the upcoming midterms, saying they saw no reason to do more than the planned handful of precincts selected for a hand-count audit of machine tallies, the Associated Press reports.

Several locals were furious. “Over 200 years, we have had a hand-count in this nation of the people, for the people and by the people,” said MAGA did his own research guy Daniel Woods at the meeting. “All of a sudden we use machines and it’s no longer legal. That’s horse crap.”

The rejection in Pinal leaves similarly rural Cochise County as the only jurisdiction in Arizona pursuing a full hand count of ballots. Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich last week allowed Cochise to move forward with the count as long as it accompanied a machine tally as well.

In an apparent reversal after several weeks of his and his close advisors threatening use of nuclear weapons on the battleground in Ukraine, Russian President appeared to blink in the glare of international condemnation,  NBC News reports.

The Kremlin released a statement reaffirming its commitment to its long-standing policy on the use of nuclear weapons.  “Russia is strictly and consistently guided by the tenet that a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought,” said the statement on the Russian Foreign Ministry website, adding that the policy was unambiguous.

As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has become bogged down or even repelled in some areas, pundits and some government officials have pushed for the use of nuclear weapons, with some politicians openly questioning the Kremlin’s use doctrine.

Sometimes, the moment speaks for itself, like the look on GOP South Carolina Senator and Donald Trump golf course personal ball washer Lindsey Graham as Trump advisor Sean Hannity cuts him off.

Tribal leaders announced a remote village school in southwest Alaska would be shut down until further notice after they banished the principal, and she and the faculty bugged out of town over the weekend on private planes, the Anchorage Daily News reports.

In a mess of jurisdictions, tribal leaders and tribal police went into Chief Paul Memorial School in Kipnuk to banish the principal, who was unnamed in the report, for an unknown reason.  Reportedly, the principal locked herself in her office after community leaders and tribal police searched for her at faculty housing on Friday.  Someone called Alaska State Police, who arrived by air the next day, only to be greeted by community members and tribal police blocking their access to the village.

After deescalating that situation, the state police investigated but found no laws had been broken.  The principal and all the teachers, who lived in housing provided by the school district, flew away from the town Saturday in two planes chartered by the school district.  The district is now figuring out how to remotely educate the scores of pupils it services.

I want you to pay attention to what frozen food heir and so close to Propaganda Minister he can taste it Tucker Carson is doing here:  he’s normalizing his audience’s craziness.  He’s telling them to bring up every single conspiracy theory and make them prove to you they’re wrong–not that you need to support the theory; they need to debunk it.  That’s what’s normal to Carlson, and if you don’t want to debunk everything to my satisfaction, you’re the liar.

“Everyone is free to ask questions about it and demand real answers.  If you’re coming out with some sort of crazy conspiracy theory about what happened at Nancy Pelosi’s house last Friday, instead of yelling at you or calling you names, telling you you’re a conspiracy nut–You’re Alex Jones!–just produce the police body cam!”

Federal prosecutors investigating disgraced former President Trump’s theft of classified documents from the White House following his humiliating defeat to Joe Biden in the 2020 election have granted immunity to top minion and shitty children’s book author Kash Patel in exchange for his testimony, the Wall Street Journal reports. Since the great Mar-a-Lago raid on August 9th, Patel repeatedly publicly claimed that Donald had secretly declassified all the documents before he left office, only to plead the Fifth in testimony to a federal grand jury last month. Prosecutors had asked DC federal Judge Beryl Howell to force Patel to answer their questions, but Howell wouldn’t force Patel to testify without protection from his statements being used against him.

In the days after the January 6th Republican-led domestic terrorist attack on Congress attempting to undermine the Constitution and install Donald Trump to an unwarranted second term, Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes composed a message to Trump urging him to start an actual insurrection, as evidence presented in the seditious conspiracy trial for Rhodes and other leaders of the group shows.  Rhodes crafted a doozy, playing on Trump’s constant feelings of being victimized and cheated.

This is Stewart Rhodes, founder of Oath Keepers.  Army airborne veteran and Yale Law graduate.  President Trump, you can save the Republic by doing your duty as Commander in Chief.

Biden is an illegitimate Chicom puppet.  He is about to get his hands on nuclear codes and command of all our armed forces.

You must use the insurrection act and use the power of the Presidency to stop him.  And all us veterans will support you and so will the vast majority of military.

If you don’t then Biden/Kamala will turn all that power on you, your family and all of us.

You and your family will be imprisoned and killed.  Just like the Romanovs in Russia.  The czar and his family were promised safety, if he stepped down.  He did, and they were all murdered.

You and your children will die in prison.

Video circulated online shows a man affixing devices to a helicopter at a Russian military base about 1,000 kilometers from Ukraine just south of Russia’s border with Latvia, with satellite imagery later confirming at least three aircraft were destroyed, CNN reports.

The video, shot during the daytime, shows a man placing a package that appears to be an explosive inside a helicopter.  He checks a device that looks like a timer.  In the background, details identified the location as a military base in Russia’s Pskov region, about 35 kilometers south of the Latvian border.  A KA-52 attack helicopter is seen in the video.

A Ukrainian Defense Ministry announced a “powerful explosion occurred at the air base of the Russian Armed Forces ‘Veretier’ on the night of October 31,” noting that “as a result of mining, two Russian attack (KA-52) helicopters and one MI-28N were completely destroyed. Two more were significantly damaged.”

TrumperMel

@TrumperMel
AZ-it is not always illegal to deposit multiple ballots in a ballot box. It is legal to deposit the ballot of a family member, household member, or person for whom you are the caregiver. Here are the rules for ballot drop boxes by which I ask you to abide.
Any past statement that it is always illegal to deposit multiple ballots in a ballot drop box is incomplete. A family member, household member or caregiver can legally do so. I have never stated otherwise. See attached statute.

107 190 Nov 02, 2022, 10:08 AM

Late on Tuesday Trump-appointed federal Judge Michael Liburdi ordered Melanie Jennings, leader of MAGA cult “Clean Elections USA” to “post in a conspicuous place” the text of the statute permitting people to place multiple ballots in the drop boxes at which Jennings’ group are no longer allowed to menace voters. Jennings complied, but not without adding “I have never stated otherwise,” because why not lie like an asshole when being forced to say something you oppose with every fiber of your being under threat of being tossed in jail.

Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger on Wednesday announced that over 2 million voters had cast ballots so far in the 2022 election, doubling total turnout in just eight days, Atlanta News First reports. Raffensperger lieutenant Gabe Sterling said that, as of Tuesday, 1,947,191 ballots have been cast, with 1,762,981 ballots cast early in person and 184,210 absentees accepted.

A judge on Wednesday sentenced Parkland MAGA terrorist Nikolas Cruz to life in Florida without the possibility of ever visiting another state, the AP reports. Cruz pleaded guilty last year to the murder of 17 high school students and staff in the February 2018 Marjorie Stoneman Douglas High School massacre. Last month a jury declined to recommend a penalty of death, leaving Judge Elizabeth Scherer with no choice but to sentence Cruz to spend the rest of his life in Florida.

“The Command Center has access to roughly 1,800 cameras, which provide us the capability to collect evidence from any camera’s location at any time, while also allowing Command Center personnel to monitor select video feeds. Among these are cameras that are used to actively monitor the Speaker’s San Francisco residence around the clock when she is there. While the Speaker was with her security detail in Washington, D.C., the San Francisco cameras were not actively monitored as they are when the Speaker is at the residence. The Command Center personnel noticed the police activity on the screen and used the feeds to monitor the response and assist investigators.”

“The Department has begun an internal security review and will be gathering input and questions from our Congressional stakeholders. We have been immensely grateful for the critical support the Congress already provided to secure the U.S. Capitol Complex after January 6, 2021. The funding was vital for us to implement dozens of immediate improvements. Now we will fast-track the work we have already been doing to enhance the protection of Members outside of Washington, D.C., while also providing new protective options that will address concerns following Friday’s targeted attack. Our brave men and women are working around the clock to meet this urgent mission during this divisive time. In the meantime, a significant change that will have an immediate impact will be for people across our country to lower the temperature on political rhetoric before it’s too late,” says the US Capitol Police in a statement confirming the Washington Post’s reporting that the feed was unmonitored because Nancy Pelosi was not at home at the time.

The trial over the lawsuit filed by a group of protestors who said they were beaten by fat former President Trump’s security guards at the Trump Tower in 2015 ended before it could start on Wednesday as the case was abruptly settled by Donald’s lawyers, the Guardian reports. The settlement offer was likely substantial as it was reached right as jury selection was going on.

“Although we were eager to proceed to trial to demonstrate the frivolousness of this case, the parties were ultimately able to come to an amicable resolution. We are very pleased with this outcome and are happy to finally put this matter to rest once and for all,” said moron Trump lawyer Alina Habba in a statement confirming her boss paid the libs to go away once and for all.