Morning Consult: “New Morning Consult/Politico polling reveals that a large chunk of the GOP voter base is following his backward-looking lead – with just over half saying they believe that the reviews could overturn 2020’s results. Three in four Republican voters (74 percent) said they support state-level efforts to review the 2020 presidential election results, and another 51 percent think the reviews will uncover information that will change the election’s outcome. The results follow another survey which found that roughly 3 in 10 Republicans say it’s at least somewhat likely that Trump will be reinstated as president this year, a fantasy that the former president has relayed to a number of close confidantes, according to Maggie Haberman of the New York Times. Trump’s loss – and his repeated insistence that the 2020 election was a ‘fraud’ – has contributed to a decline in confidence among Republican voters about the U.S. electoral system itself, a figure that has remained stubbornly low since Biden’s victory. ”

“It’s concerning to a number of Republican strategists, who partly blame Trump’s behavior for a decline in turnout that led to the party’s losses in two Georgia runoff elections for Senate and continued in a New Mexico special election earlier this year, and believe it could threaten their efforts to gain control of Capitol Hill for the second half of Biden’s presidency. To their point, polling conducted in April found Democrats were beginning the 2022 cycle with an edge over the GOP in voter enthusiasm. ‘The danger with him is always that he juices turnout – Democratic turnout, that is – and that he continues to remind people why they turned him out last year,’ said Scott Jennings, a former campaign strategist for Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.). ‘He could also put GOP candidates in awkward positions if he continues to relitigate and make false claims about the 2020 election.’ ‘The great mystery is whether these low- or no-propensity Trump voters show up,’ Jennings said. ‘Nobody knows.'”