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The Last Mile

Washington Post: “In the homestretch of the 2020 campaign, there has been little good news for the incumbent. And that is showing up as an ominous turn for him in the polls as Biden consolidates support. What had been a steady national lead for Biden in the high single digits during the late summer has expanded to 12 points in early October, according to a Washington Post polling average. A Washington Post-ABC News poll released Sunday fits with the trend, putting Biden at 54 percent nationally and Trump at 42, a 12-point lead that is similar to the 10-point advantage Biden held in a September survey. While key battleground-state polls have shown a somewhat closer contest, the trajectory has been clear.”

“‘These are not gigantic shifts, but when you were already down, it makes it even tougher,’ said Chris Borick, director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion. ‘What was bad has gotten worse for the president.’ Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden deliver remarks in front of the Arizona state flag to first week voters at Carpenters Local Union 1912 in Phoenix on Oct. 8, 2020 (Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post)Four years ago, voters who decided in the presidential campaign’s waning days broke decisively for Trump, a political newcomer, delivering him a shock victory. This year, evidence suggests there are few who have yet to make up their minds. But many of those who had been on the fence appear to be coming down on Biden’s side.”

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