A focus group of Wisconsin voters conducted by Axios and Engagious/Sago finds that out of 12 participants who voted Trump in 2016 and then Biden in 2020 nine of them see the most similarities between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Obama, with one saying “they’re both really high energy speakers, very eloquent with their words and it kind of says to me, leadership.”
“Zoom in: 11 of the 12 respondents said, if they had to hypothetically bet $50 on the results of the 2024 election, Harris would win,” Axios writes. And no this isn’t a scientific poll but a focus group. If it was, it wouldn’t be that great of news for the Harris-Walz ticket as Axios writes that “Four of the 12 focus group respondents said they were not planning to vote for Biden, but that they now plan to vote for Harris. In a six-way race, eight respondents said they would back Harris, one would back Trump, two would back Robert F Kennedy Jr and one would not vote.” While we have no way of knowing precisely how many Cheeseheads flipped from Trump to Biden between the last two elections overall, the state is extremely tight and a third of them not planning on voting for the Dem again now in August means there’s still plenty of work to be done to win them over one more time.