The final Bitecofer model has been released, giving Biden a 94.6% likelihood of winning the Electoral College with at least 334 Electoral College votes.
Unlike many models which measure voter enthusiasm for a candidate, the Bitecofer model incorporates “negative enthusiasm” and “negative partisanship” against the opposing nominee.
Bitecofer also has Democrats picking up five seats in the Senate, with the Georgia contests still undecided–likely because the model sees no candidate in either race getting the required 50% of the vote to avoid a runoff.