A new survey by Blueprint for the Bulwark testing GOP primary voters who cast a ballot for Nikki “Birdbrain” Haley in the 2024 GOP primary finds convicted felon former President Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris 45 to 36 percent, a swing of 22 percent in the Dems’ favor going by the self-reported 2020 recall vote of Trump 59 to Biden 28 percent among this set.
“Between 5 and 10 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents are Nikki Haley supporters,” said Evan Roth Smith, the lead pollster for Blueprint, which conducted the poll between September 28 and October 6. “If Harris can indeed win a third or more of them in the general election, it will provide a boost of a couple percentage points. In such a close race where the margin of victory will be razor-thin, particularly in the swing states, it’s clearly worth pursuing these voters.”