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Regime unlikely to start panicking on oil prices, until they panic: ING

“The oil market pared some of its initial gains yesterday, with Brent settling 7.26 percent higher on the day after initially trading as much as 13.6 percent higher. The market continues to digest the risk of escalation in the Middle East. While there are concerns about oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a greater risk to the market would be Iran targeting additional energy infrastructure in the region. This could lead to more prolonged outages. Oil price movements have been fairly modest, given the amount of supply at risk and uncertainty about how long disruptions could persist. Part of the explanation: the market had already been pricing in a fairly large risk premium in the lead-up to.”

“Also, the market appears to be pricing in a relatively short-lived disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which the large surplus markets expect this year should be able to absorb. Clearly, supply disruptions leave significant tightness in the prompt market, as reflected in timespreads. The 12-month ICE Brent is surging from less than US$5/bbl to a little over US$9.50/bbl backwardation.”

“The May/Jun spread surged towards a US$1.60/bbl backwardation. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that the US will announce plans on Tuesday to mitigate higher energy costs. At the same time, though, there have been reports that the US has no immediate plan to release oil from its strategic petroleum reserve. The longer the disruptions last, the more likely we are to see coordinated emergency releases from several countries,” says a Tuesday note from Dutch finance house ING.

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Ohioan pays $6,000 in Home Depot cards to “remove child porn”

A Boardman, Ohio woman who got a call last week from “Microsoft tech support” is out $6,000 because now the scam is to tell marks there’s child porn on their smartphone – so the idiot bought that amount in Home Depot cards and gave them the codes to “remove” the porn, WKBN reports.

Lucky for her she was not named in the report because god-freaking-dammit she should never be able to live that one down. Even if they’re that convincing about the “tech support” aspect of the scam (they aren’t, ever) then shouldn’t the Home Depot gift card ransom have been a red flag? Shit.

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Single-day national average gas price spike highest since 2022

The 12 cent national average gas price spike on Monday was the highest since February 2022 when Russian dictator Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine, according to GasBuddy.com’s Patrick De Haan. It’s the fourth highest of the 21st century, with the top spot belonging to August 31, 2005 when Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast and disrupted domestic refinery infrastructure.

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California Dem chair orders gov primary field to self-clear

For a very sternly-worded warning issued Tuesday by California Dem Party chairman Rusty Hicks to gubernatorial candidates: “If you do not have a viable path to make it to the General Election, do not file to place your name on the ballot for the Primary Election. If you decide to file, be prepared to suspend your campaign and endorse another candidate on or before April 15th if your campaign cannot show meaningful progress towards winning the Primary Election in the coming weeks.”

Hicks then writes that the possibility the jungle primary system could end up fucking them with a Republican vs Republican general election race is “unlikely, but they are, in fact, possible. Therefore, we all have a duty to act in a responsible manner with the opportunities and support we have earned. I believe it starts with a candid assessment of the political landscape around you, an honest reflection on your viability to win the race, and the courage to make a tough choice.”

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“We basically had no drone defeat capability”

Three US Army officials tell CBS News that the command post in Kuwait’s Shuaiba Port stuck by an Iranian Shahed-136 “kamikaze” drone on Sunday leaving six soldiers dead and 18 others seriously wounded was defended only by concrete barriers – useless for aerial kinetic attacks – and that officers knew it was vulnerable, but requests up the chain for active interceptors weren’t answered.

“We basically had no drone defeat capability,” one of the officials said. “I’m sorry for their families’ losses. They were nice people doing what their nation asked of them,” said either that same source or another, CBS doesn’t make it clear. That last sentence was also just weird and robotic.

Anyway the strike came without warning from the post’s sirens, something that officers also flagged as previous close calls had seen the alarms go off after the drones had crossed the perimeter.

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Texas Dem primary early voting turnout surges past GOP

At least 7.2 percent of Texas Dem voters turned out either in person or via mail in the contested Senate primary between state Senator James Talarico and Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett, eclipsing the 6.2 percent of GOP voters that turned out for a much more expensive and heated three-way primary between “RINO” Senator John Cornhole Cornyn, corrupt Picasso-faced Attorney General Ken Paxton, and Johnny-come-lately Congressman Wesley Hunt, Axios reports.

According to a bar chart going back to 2018, only in 2020 did Dem primary early turnout exceed Republicans and, at 12.9 to 12.4 percent, the delta was half as wide. Other than that, even 2018 – the year Beto O’Rourke ended up coming within 2.3 percent of felling insufferable schmuck Ted Cruz in the general election – more Republicans at 10.2 percent showed up to vote early than Dems did at 7 percent. That was also the next-weakest year for GOP turnout and was a full 4 percent higher.

So yes, if it wasn’t so tight between Talarico and Crockett there probably wouldn’t be as much interest in the race and maybe the GOP would be ahead in turnout. They’re still losing to themselves versus 2018 by a significant margin, which is fucking nuts when already something like $100 million has been spent on their side – $70 million of that by Cornyn’s backers alone in a desperate attempt to save him from Pax – while Talarico and Crockett have spent around $30 million on ads combined.

Cruz never faced any real intraparty challenge and still that year 40 percent more of the Lone Star State’s Republican electorate showed up to vote early in the primary than did in 2026. One might actually be tempted to dare to hope that the white whale is within sight of the Dems this time.

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Lazy quitter helps pre-set “Dems allowed Iranian terrorism” script

First off, if Tehran really had “sleeper cells” in the US one would think that they would’ve already tried to avenge the Ayatollah’s death and every day that goes by since then seems to foreclose the possibility that they’re going to sacrifice themselves in a suicide bombing in a crowded mall or whatever. Setting aside that obviously deranged Senegalese asshole shooting up the bar in Austin killing three people – a horrible crime that hasn’t even definitely connected to the war – there hasn’t even been any “lone wolf” attacks by say some hard-line American Shi’ites loyal to the regime.

Then, as already noted here, unlike last year ICE hasn’t been parading a wave of arrests of Iranian immigrants whose petty bullshit crimes – if they even committed any – had nothing to do with terrorism or Tehran’s regime. Put it all together and it would seem that, per usual, the Fox chyron screaming “THREAT OF IRANIAN SLEEPER CELLS IN US HOMELAND” is just the usual fear porn.

But hey why not set the narrative of pre-blaming Dems for refusing to fund DHS just in case something happens? The fact that K$H Patel fired the FBI agents in charge of monitoring Iranian threats leaves a weak spot, as does that the shutdown doesn’t affect ICE, who are supposed to be tracking them down as well, is potential weak spot so the GOP might as well go on offense. It’s not like there’s any political cost to telling their voters to be afraid of foreign Muslims with funny names.

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US embassy in Israel announces you’re on your own

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Fatal Iranian strike on six US troops happened in Kuwait

After two days of scant details on how, where, and who were the six US service members confirmed killed in action so far during convicted felon President Trump’s directionless war on Iran happened, CNN finally have ascertained some specifics from sources inside the Department of Defense: The lethal strike was from a low-flying Iranian drone that penetrated both defenses and early warning systems and hit a triple-wide trailer in Shuaiba Port, Kuwait being used as an operations center for a Fort Knox, Kentucky-based US Army unit called the 1st Theater Sustainment Command.

The strike had occurred at 9 AM local time on Sunday, less than 24 hours after the first payloads were dropped on Iran. The names of the soldiers killed in the attack have yet to be made public as their next of kin are still being notified. It’s not clear if their remains have been repatriated yet.

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Released Capitol rioter charged with threatening DC cop

White supremacist January 6 MAGA terrorist Jake Lang, who was in the DC lockup facing trial multiple felonies, including assaulting police with a baseball bat, civil disorder, and other counts from the 2021 insurrection when convicted felon President Trump pardoned and thus released him on January 20, 2025, has been arrested again in DC, this time for misdemeanor threats against one of the Metro Police officers during a confrontation outside of the US Capitol, NBC News reports.

Lang, 30, was caught on camera this year at an event commemorating the fifth anniversary of the insurrection screaming to Metropolitan Police Commander Jason Bagshaw that he should be “put down like a dead dog” and “hung” in front of the Capitol. “Public execution is the only solution for animals like you,” Lang said to Bagshaw, adding the cop should be dragged “out by his ankles” and thrown “in the Potomac.” Lang has pleaded not guilty to the charges and is due in court on the 24th.

It’s not even the first legal trouble that Lang, who is running for US Senate in Florida, has faced this year. The MAGA Neo-Nazi was arrested in Minneapolis on January 17th after he partially kicked down an ice sculpture at the state capital in St Paul that said “PROSECUTE ICE” to make it say “PRO ICE,” during an anti-immigration counter-demonstration in support of the Trump Reich.

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DoorDash guy testifies he delivered Plan B to Louisiana mayor Misty Clanton hours after she did stuff with son’s 16 year-old friend

Yeah. The “Clanton” really ties it up nicely, right? However, as is often found in certain, often smaller, jurisdictions where a particular office is “technically” non-partisan it seems that the now-former mayor of DeRidder, Louisiana took that extra seriously and not only ran as an independent on a non-ideological, just solve problems platform, she even personally registered to vote as unaffiliated.

She’s also not-so-technically no longer a Clanton either, since her husband Duncan Clanton, who is in fact a registered Republican, divorced her at some point since July 20, 2024. Why?

Well, you already got a lot from the headline but damn People Magazine did a solid job with their aggregated summary sourced from local news that the unnamed DoorDash guy testified last week that he delivered the emergency contraceptive to the now-Misty Roberts’s home following the night in question. It’s after that pretty darkly comedic element that each of the stories further upstream from People mag get actually legitimately heartbreaking as Roberts faces jurors on charges of carnal knowledge of a juvenile and indecent behavior with a juvenile. It’s her kids – and apparently a nephew – that have gone through hell on this being pushed into testifying against her.

Sorry to end on a downer, it’s just not always that the balance of tragedy and comedy tips toward the former on closer examination. This is one of those times as the hell this maniac inflicted on her kids and husband (the then-16 year-old victim himself is scarcely mentioned in the coverage) is halting and legitimately difficult to reprint here even if technically not all that gruesome or vulgar.

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Minneapolis prosecutor launches investigation into regime

“Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty announced the office has created the Transparency and Accountability Project (TAP) in the wake of Operation Metro Surge. TAP’s purpose is to collect and assess evidence submitted by the public of potentially unlawful behavior by federal agents. It is staffed by HCAO prosecutors and an HCAO civilian investigator. A new portal for community members to share photos, videos, and descriptions of any incidents that may involve unlawful conduct by federal agents has been created to support TAP. The previous portal for evidence in the Renee Good and Alex Pretti shootings has served its purpose and been closed.”

“‘Our TAP team is actively investigating 17 incidents that have been brought to our attention by the community, including Gregory Kent Bovino’s actions near Mueller Park on January 21,’ Hennepin County Attorney Mary Moriarty said. ‘We will investigate and pursue charging where appropriate, and we’ll seek collaboration with local law enforcement wherever and whenever needed.’ Investigation and prosecution of federal agents present significant challenges and the HCAO must be prepared to litigate those challenges prior to filing charges. This will lead to a longer charging timeline than is typical for this office. ‘Make no mistake, we are not afraid of any legal fight,’ Moriarty continued. ‘But we will do this ethically, responsibly, and vigorously. TAP is fundamental to our efforts to ensure the transparency and accountability that our community deserves. This is just the beginning,'” says the Hennepin County Attorney’s office in a press release.

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