“The belief that Americans aren’t getting the real story about Mr. Trump’s chances for re-election has taken hold among many of his supporters. For Trump loyalists, it is an appealing story, and one with some validity: The news media, which largely failed to anticipate Mr. Trump’s victory in 2016, are undercounting his voters, many of whom are even more reluctant today than they were four years ago to declare themselves in his camp” reports the New York Times.
“Mr. Trump makes this argument often; on Saturday evening, he told reporters that ‘we have a silent majority the likes of which nobody has seen.’ One of his pollsters, John McLaughlin, has even put a name to this supposed flaw in the data, predicting that the ‘hidden Trump voter’ will prove the news media wrong. But the idea that there are substantial numbers of Trump voters who will emerge from hiding on Election Day, large enough to sway the outcome, is not supported by the latest public opinion research — or by a proper understanding of what happened in past elections where the voter surveys were off, said pollsters who work for Republican and Democratic candidates.”